Sunday, 18 January 2026
Predictions with probability and confidence scores
The Shape of Premier League
The Premier League moves fast. Pace dictates structure. Matches are open, transitions frequent, and momentum shifts quickly. This creates volatility — but also patterns. High pressing, quick counters, and intensity from first to final whistle shape how results form. Unlike more structured leagues, space appears suddenly and is exploited immediately.
Premier League Identity
Statistical markers from past 5 seasons
Home Win
42%
Home advantage
Draw
26.8%
Stalemates
Away Win
31.2%
Against the odds
Over 2.5
48.1%
High-scoring
Goals Per Match
2.6
Attacking patterns
BTTS
50.8%
Both teams score
Clean Sheets
8.1%
Shut outs
Scoring Minutes
0-15'
14.6%
15-30'
14.7%
30-45'
18.1%
45-60'
16.3%
60-75'
15.5%
75-90'
20.9%
Cards
1.9
+0.1 red
Predictability
49.9%
Pattern confidence
Blanks
8.1%
Failed to score
Corners
0
Per match
Premier League Standings
Current league table
| POS | TEAM | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ARS
Arsenal
|
22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 14 | +26 | 50 |
| 2 |
MCI
Manchester City
|
22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 45 | 21 | +24 | 43 |
| 3 |
AVL
Aston Villa
|
22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 25 | +8 | 43 |
| 4 |
LIV
Liverpool
|
22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 29 | +4 | 36 |
| 5 |
MUN
Manchester United
|
22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 32 | +6 | 35 |
| 6 |
CHE
Chelsea
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 24 | +12 | 34 |
| 7 |
BRE
Brentford
|
22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 30 | +5 | 33 |
| 8 |
NEW
Newcastle United
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 27 | +5 | 33 |
| 9 |
SUN
Sunderland
|
22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | +0 | 33 |
| 10 |
EVE
Everton
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 |
FUL
Fulham
|
22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 |
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 28 | +3 | 29 |
| 13 |
CRY
Crystal Palace
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 28 |
| 14 |
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 29 | +2 | 27 |
| 15 |
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
|
21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 26 |
| 16 |
LEE
Leeds United
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 25 |
| 17 |
NFO
Nottingham Forest
|
22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 |
WHU
West Ham United
|
22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
| 19 |
BUR
Burnley
|
22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 |
WOL
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
22 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 41 | -26 | 8 |