Wolverhampton Wanderers
Tottenham Hotspur won after full-time.
0 - 1
FT
Tottenham Hotspur
Postmatch editorial
Tottenham Hotspur made the numbers look right
The final score was Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-1 Tottenham Hotspur. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when João Palhinha scored 82' for Tottenham Hotspur.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Tottenham Hotspur led Possession 41%-59%.
Before kickoff, our model made Tottenham Hotspur the likeliest result at 43.5%, while the median bookmaker line priced Tottenham Hotspur at 61.0% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (57.5%), and that angle missed.
The model still found a small price edge on 2 at Interwetten. The market was offering 1.90 against a fair line of 1.84. That translated to an edge of 3.3% before kickoff. That ticket matched the final outcome.
Prediction checks
Model result
Tottenham Hotspur
43.5%
Market result
Tottenham Hotspur
61.0%
BTTS
Yes
57.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
Tottenham HotspurWolverhampton Wanderers
Tottenham Hotspur
41%
59%
Shots on target
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Tottenham Hotspur
2
2
Total shots
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Tottenham Hotspur
11
11
Model edge
2
Interwetten
Market odd
1.90
Fair odd
1.84
Edge
3.3%
Stake
1.00u
That ticket matched the final outcome.