Postmatch editorial

Wingate & Finchley flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Wingate & Finchley 2-1 Hemel Hempstead Town. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Wingate & Finchley put the first mark on the match 44', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Hemel Hempstead Town led Total shots 1-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hemel Hempstead Town also shaded Shots on target 6-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 63.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Hemel Hempstead Town

63.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Hemel Hempstead Town

Wingate & Finchley

Hemel Hempstead Town

1

4

Shots on target

Hemel Hempstead Town

Wingate & Finchley

Hemel Hempstead Town

6

7

Corners

Hemel Hempstead Town

Wingate & Finchley

Hemel Hempstead Town

7

9