Postmatch editorial

AFC Wimbledon upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Wigan Athletic 0-1 AFC Wimbledon. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Antwoine Hackford scored 90' for AFC Wimbledon.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: AFC Wimbledon led Shots on target 0-2. Wigan Athletic also shaded Total shots 16-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Wigan Athletic the favourite at 45.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Wigan Athletic

45.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

AFC Wimbledon

Wigan Athletic

AFC Wimbledon

0

2

Total shots

Wigan Athletic

Wigan Athletic

AFC Wimbledon

16

4

Possession

Wigan Athletic

Wigan Athletic

AFC Wimbledon

70%

30%