Postmatch editorial

West Ham United made the numbers look right

The final score was West Ham United 4-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.

The decisive turn arrived late when Konstantinos Mavropanos scored 83' for West Ham United.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: West Ham United led Shots on target 7-3. West Ham United also shaded Corners 5-2.

Before kickoff, our model made West Ham United the likeliest result at 41.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced West Ham United at 55.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (52.6%), and that angle landed.

Prediction checks

Model result

West Ham United

41.7%

Hit

Market result

West Ham United

55.6%

Hit

BTTS

No

52.6%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

West Ham United

West Ham United

Wolverhampton Wanderers

7

3

Corners

West Ham United

West Ham United

Wolverhampton Wanderers

5

2

Total shots

West Ham United

West Ham United

Wolverhampton Wanderers

18

14

Value angle

No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.