Postmatch editorial
West Ham United made the numbers look right
The final score was West Ham United 4-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Konstantinos Mavropanos scored 83' for West Ham United.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: West Ham United led Shots on target 7-3. West Ham United also shaded Corners 5-2.
Before kickoff, our model made West Ham United the likeliest result at 41.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced West Ham United at 55.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (52.6%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
West Ham United
41.7%
Market result
West Ham United
55.6%
BTTS
No
52.6%
Match numbers
Shots on target
West Ham UnitedWest Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
7
3
Corners
West Ham UnitedWest Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
5
2
Total shots
West Ham UnitedWest Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
18
14
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.