Postmatch editorial
Fulham turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was West Ham United 0-1 Fulham. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Raúl Jiménez scored 85' for Fulham.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Fulham led Shots on target 2-5. Fulham also shaded Total shots 11-17.
Before kickoff, our model made Fulham the likeliest result at 51.6%, while the median bookmaker line priced Fulham at 41.3% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (60.3%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Fulham
51.6%
Market result
Fulham
41.3%
BTTS
Yes
60.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
FulhamWest Ham United
Fulham
2
5
Total shots
FulhamWest Ham United
Fulham
11
17
Possession
FulhamWest Ham United
Fulham
44%
56%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.