West Ham United
West Ham United won after full-time.
2 - 1
FT
Everton
Postmatch editorial
West Ham United made the numbers look right
The final score was West Ham United 2-1 Everton. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Callum Wilson scored 90+2' for West Ham United.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Everton led Possession 44%-56%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Everton also shaded Corners 3-4.
Before kickoff, our model made West Ham United the likeliest result at 38.1%, while the median bookmaker line priced West Ham United at 40.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (53.8%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
West Ham United
38.1%
Market result
West Ham United
40.6%
BTTS
Yes
53.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
EvertonWest Ham United
Everton
44%
56%
Corners
EvertonWest Ham United
Everton
3
4
Total shots
EvertonWest Ham United
Everton
10
11
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.