Postmatch editorial
The prices said close and the pitch agreed
The final score was West Ham United 0-0 AFC Bournemouth. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
Neither West Ham United nor AFC Bournemouth found a breakthrough, so the game stayed goalless all the way through.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: West Ham United led Total shots 20-10, even though the scoreboard went another way. AFC Bournemouth also shaded Shots on target 3-5.
Before kickoff, our model made West Ham United the likeliest result at 37.6%, while the median bookmaker line priced AFC Bournemouth at 40.0% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (60.0%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
West Ham United
37.6%
Market result
AFC Bournemouth
40.0%
BTTS
Yes
60.0%
Match numbers
Total shots
West Ham UnitedWest Ham United
AFC Bournemouth
20
10
Shots on target
AFC BournemouthWest Ham United
AFC Bournemouth
3
5
Corners
West Ham UnitedWest Ham United
AFC Bournemouth
9
5
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.