Postmatch editorial
The script held and VfB Stuttgart delivered it
The final score was Werder Bremen 0-4 VfB Stuttgart. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Chris Führich scored 90+7' for VfB Stuttgart.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: VfB Stuttgart led Shots on target 4-12. VfB Stuttgart also shaded Corners 1-9.
Before kickoff, our model made VfB Stuttgart the likeliest result at 46.8%, while the median bookmaker line priced VfB Stuttgart at 42.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (61.5%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
VfB Stuttgart
46.8%
Market result
VfB Stuttgart
42.6%
BTTS
Yes
61.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart
4
12
Corners
VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart
1
9
Total shots
VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart
11
24
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.