Postmatch editorial

FC Augsburg flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Werder Bremen 1-3 FC Augsburg. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Anton Kade put the first mark on the match 24', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Werder Bremen led Corners 8-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. FC Augsburg also shaded Shots on target 4-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Werder Bremen the favourite at 51.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Werder Bremen

51.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

FC Augsburg

8

2

Shots on target

FC Augsburg

Werder Bremen

FC Augsburg

4

7

Possession

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

FC Augsburg

68%

32%