Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund won after full-time.
0 - 2
FT
Borussia Dortmund
Postmatch editorial
Borussia Dortmund turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Werder Bremen 0-2 Borussia Dortmund. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Yan Couto scored 90+5' for Borussia Dortmund.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Borussia Dortmund led Shots on target 3-9. Borussia Dortmund also shaded Total shots 9-17.
Before kickoff, our model made Borussia Dortmund the likeliest result at 44.5%, while the median bookmaker line priced Borussia Dortmund at 50.0% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (62.7%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Borussia Dortmund
44.5%
Market result
Borussia Dortmund
50.0%
BTTS
Yes
62.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Borussia DortmundWerder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
3
9
Total shots
Borussia DortmundWerder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
9
17
Corners
Borussia DortmundWerder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
4
5
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.