Postmatch editorial

SpVgg Greuther Fürth flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Wehen Wiesbaden 3-5 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Wehen Wiesbaden struck first through Ivan Prtajin  3', but SpVgg Greuther Fürth recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Wehen Wiesbaden led Corners 8-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Wehen Wiesbaden also shaded Total shots 20-16.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Wehen Wiesbaden the favourite at 49.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Wehen Wiesbaden

49.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Wehen Wiesbaden

Wehen Wiesbaden

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

8

5

Total shots

Wehen Wiesbaden

Wehen Wiesbaden

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

20

16

Possession

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Wehen Wiesbaden

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

44%

56%