Postmatch editorial
Watford upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Watford 2-1 Southampton. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Iker Bravo put the first mark on the match 12', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Southampton led Possession 34%-66%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Southampton also shaded Corners 4-8.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Southampton the favourite at 50.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Southampton
50.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
SouthamptonWatford
Southampton
34%
66%
Corners
SouthamptonWatford
Southampton
4
8
Shots on target
WatfordWatford
Southampton
4
3