Postmatch editorial

Burnley flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Watford 1-2 Burnley. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Watford struck first through James Tarkowski 8', but Burnley recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Burnley led Shots on target 1-6. Burnley also shaded Total shots 13-17.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Watford the favourite at 38.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Watford

38.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Burnley

Watford

Burnley

1

6

Total shots

Burnley

Watford

Burnley

13

17

Corners

Burnley

Watford

Burnley

5

6