Postmatch editorial

FC Daugavpils upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Vllaznia Shkodër 0-1 FC Daugavpils. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Valerijs Lizunovs scored 85' for FC Daugavpils.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Vllaznia Shkodër led Shots on target 4-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Vllaznia Shkodër also shaded Total shots 9-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Vllaznia Shkodër the favourite at 72.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Vllaznia Shkodër

72.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Vllaznia Shkodër

Vllaznia Shkodër

FC Daugavpils

4

1

Total shots

Vllaznia Shkodër

Vllaznia Shkodër

FC Daugavpils

9

2

Corners

Vllaznia Shkodër

Vllaznia Shkodër

FC Daugavpils

6

0