Postmatch editorial

Casa Pia upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Vizela 0-4 Casa Pia. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Gaizka Larrazabal scored 90+1' for Casa Pia.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Casa Pia led Shots on target 3-8. Vizela also shaded Corners 6-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Vizela the favourite at 47.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Vizela

47.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Casa Pia

Vizela

Casa Pia

3

8

Corners

Vizela

Vizela

Casa Pia

6

3

Possession

Vizela

Vizela

Casa Pia

60%

40%