Postmatch editorial

Bahia upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Vitória 0-2 Bahia. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Jean Lucas scored 90+7' for Bahia.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Bahia led Shots on target 2-9. Bahia also shaded Total shots 14-28.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Vitória the favourite at 37.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Vitória

37.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Bahia

Vitória

Bahia

2

9

Total shots

Bahia

Vitória

Bahia

14

28

Possession

Bahia

Vitória

Bahia

47%

53%