Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Vitória Guimarães 1-2 Farense. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Darío Poveda scored 90+2' for Farense.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Vitória Guimarães led Total shots 21-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. Vitória Guimarães also shaded Corners 16-3.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Vitória Guimarães the favourite at 66.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Vitória Guimarães
66.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
Vitória GuimarãesVitória Guimarães
Farense
21
7
Corners
Vitória GuimarãesVitória Guimarães
Farense
16
3
Possession
Vitória GuimarãesVitória Guimarães
Farense
70%
30%