Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Vitória Guimarães 0-1 Casa Pia. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Gaizka Larrazabal scored 86' for Casa Pia.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Casa Pia led Shots on target 2-5. Vitória Guimarães also shaded Possession 71%-29%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Vitória Guimarães the favourite at 58.1% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Vitória Guimarães
58.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Casa PiaVitória Guimarães
Casa Pia
2
5
Possession
Vitória GuimarãesVitória Guimarães
Casa Pia
71%
29%
Total shots
Vitória GuimarãesVitória Guimarães
Casa Pia
15
11