Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Vitória Guimarães 0-1 Arouca. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Iván Barbero put the first mark on the match 53', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Vitória Guimarães led Total shots 24-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Vitória Guimarães also shaded Corners 5-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Vitória Guimarães the favourite at 52.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Vitória Guimarães

52.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Vitória Guimarães

Vitória Guimarães

Arouca

24

4

Corners

Vitória Guimarães

Vitória Guimarães

Arouca

5

2

Shots on target

Vitória Guimarães

Vitória Guimarães

Arouca

3

2