Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Virtus 1-0 Dila. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Elia Ciacci scored 90+3' for Virtus.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Virtus led Corners 10-3. Virtus also shaded Possession 66%-34%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Dila the favourite at 62.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Dila
62.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
VirtusVirtus
Dila
10
3
Possession
VirtusVirtus
Dila
66%
34%