Postmatch editorial
Sevilla upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Villarreal 2-3 Sevilla. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Villarreal struck first through Gerard Moreno 13', but Sevilla recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Sevilla led Total shots 6-13. Villarreal also shaded Possession 63%-37%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Villarreal the favourite at 47.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Villarreal
47.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
SevillaVillarreal
Sevilla
6
13
Possession
VillarrealVillarreal
Sevilla
63%
37%
Shots on target
SevillaVillarreal
Sevilla
4
5