Villarreal
Villarreal won after full-time.
5 - 1
FT
Levante
Postmatch editorial
The script held and Villarreal delivered it
The final score was Villarreal 5-1 Levante. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Nicolas Pépé scored 90' for Villarreal.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Villarreal led Shots on target 8-3. Villarreal also shaded Total shots 20-12.
Before kickoff, our model made Villarreal the likeliest result at 62.8%, while the median bookmaker line priced Villarreal at 57.1% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (50.7%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Villarreal
62.8%
Market result
Villarreal
57.1%
BTTS
No
50.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
VillarrealVillarreal
Levante
8
3
Total shots
VillarrealVillarreal
Levante
20
12
Corners
VillarrealVillarreal
Levante
7
3
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.