Postmatch editorial
Villanovense upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Villanovense 2-1 UD Ibiza. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
UD Ibiza struck first through Nikolay Obolskiy 42', but Villanovense recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: UD Ibiza led Corners 2-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. UD Ibiza also shaded Possession 39%-61%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made UD Ibiza the favourite at 45.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
UD Ibiza
45.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
UD IbizaVillanovense
UD Ibiza
2
5
Possession
UD IbizaVillanovense
UD Ibiza
39%
61%
Total shots
UD IbizaVillanovense
UD Ibiza
9
12