Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Víkingur 2-1 Linfield. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Ben Hall put the first mark on the match 3', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Linfield led Total shots 4-17, even though the scoreboard went another way. Linfield also shaded Shots on target 3-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Linfield the favourite at 40.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Linfield

40.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Linfield

Víkingur

Linfield

4

17

Shots on target

Linfield

Víkingur

Linfield

3

5

Possession

Linfield

Víkingur

Linfield

32%

68%