Postmatch editorial

Werder Bremen flipped the prices on their head

The final score was VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Werder Bremen. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Justin Njinmah put the first mark on the match 68', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: VfL Wolfsburg led Corners 8-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. VfL Wolfsburg also shaded Shots on target 4-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 42.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

VfL Wolfsburg

42.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

Werder Bremen

8

4

Shots on target

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

Werder Bremen

4

3

Total shots

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

Werder Bremen

11

8