Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Hertha BSC. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
VfL Wolfsburg struck first through Jakub Kamiński 2', but Hertha BSC recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: VfL Wolfsburg led Shots on target 11-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. VfL Wolfsburg also shaded Total shots 20-8.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 80.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
VfL Wolfsburg
80.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
Hertha BSC
11
5
Total shots
VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
Hertha BSC
20
8
Corners
VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
Hertha BSC
7
3