Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Oscar Højlund put the first mark on the match 21', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: VfL Wolfsburg led Total shots 22-10, even though the scoreboard went another way. VfL Wolfsburg also shaded Shots on target 7-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 39.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

VfL Wolfsburg

39.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

Eintracht Frankfurt

22

10

Shots on target

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

Eintracht Frankfurt

7

4

Possession

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

Eintracht Frankfurt

51%

49%