Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was VfL Bochum 1848 0-1 Hertha BSC. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Sebastian Grönning put the first mark on the match 39', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: VfL Bochum 1848 led Corners 5-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. VfL Bochum 1848 also shaded Shots on target 3-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made VfL Bochum 1848 the favourite at 44.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

VfL Bochum 1848

44.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

VfL Bochum 1848

VfL Bochum 1848

Hertha BSC

5

2

Shots on target

VfL Bochum 1848

VfL Bochum 1848

Hertha BSC

3

2

Possession

VfL Bochum 1848

VfL Bochum 1848

Hertha BSC

56%

44%