Postmatch editorial

FSV Mainz 05 made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was VfL Bochum 1848 1-4 FSV Mainz 05. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

The decisive turn arrived late when Paul Nebel scored 90+3' for FSV Mainz 05.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FSV Mainz 05 led Total shots 11-22. FSV Mainz 05 also shaded Shots on target 6-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 45.5% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

FSV Mainz 05

45.5%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

FSV Mainz 05

VfL Bochum 1848

FSV Mainz 05

11

22

Shots on target

FSV Mainz 05

VfL Bochum 1848

FSV Mainz 05

6

8

Possession

FSV Mainz 05

VfL Bochum 1848

FSV Mainz 05

44%

56%