Postmatch editorial

FC Augsburg upset the pre-match prices

The final score was VfL Bochum 1848 1-2 FC Augsburg. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Mert Kömür scored 90' for FC Augsburg.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: VfL Bochum 1848 led Shots on target 9-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. VfL Bochum 1848 also shaded Total shots 25-12.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made VfL Bochum 1848 the favourite at 42.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

VfL Bochum 1848

42.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

VfL Bochum 1848

VfL Bochum 1848

FC Augsburg

9

5

Total shots

VfL Bochum 1848

VfL Bochum 1848

FC Augsburg

25

12

Possession

VfL Bochum 1848

VfL Bochum 1848

FC Augsburg

53%

47%