Postmatch editorial

Borussia Dortmund flipped the prices on their head

The final score was VfB Stuttgart 0-2 Borussia Dortmund. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Julian Brandt scored 90+6' for Borussia Dortmund.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: VfB Stuttgart led Total shots 13-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. VfB Stuttgart also shaded Possession 67%-33%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 43.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

VfB Stuttgart

43.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund

13

5

Possession

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund

67%

33%

Corners

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund

5

2