Postmatch editorial

Hamrun Spartans flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Velez 0-1 Hamrun Spartans. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Matthew Guillaumier put the first mark on the match 30', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Velez led Corners 5-0, even though the scoreboard went another way. Velez also shaded Shots on target 6-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Velez the favourite at 58.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Velez

58.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Velez

Velez

Hamrun Spartans

5

0

Shots on target

Velez

Velez

Hamrun Spartans

6

4

Total shots

Velez

Velez

Hamrun Spartans

12

9