Postmatch editorial
Vélez Sarsfield made the pre-match prices look right
The final score was Vélez Sarsfield 1-0 Independiente. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
Thiago Aguirre put the first mark on the match 70', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Vélez Sarsfield led Shots on target 4-1. Vélez Sarsfield also shaded Possession 54%-46%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Vélez Sarsfield the favourite at 40.3% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
Vélez Sarsfield
40.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Vélez SarsfieldVélez Sarsfield
Independiente
4
1
Possession
Vélez SarsfieldVélez Sarsfield
Independiente
54%
46%
Total shots
Vélez SarsfieldVélez Sarsfield
Independiente
12
11