Postmatch editorial

IFK Göteborg flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Västerås SK 4-5 IFK Göteborg. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Tobias Heintz scored 79' for IFK Göteborg.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Västerås SK led Total shots 20-11, even though the scoreboard went another way. Västerås SK also shaded Corners 7-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Västerås SK the favourite at 38.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Västerås SK

38.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Västerås SK

Västerås SK

IFK Göteborg

20

11

Corners

Västerås SK

Västerås SK

IFK Göteborg

7

3

Possession

Västerås SK

Västerås SK

IFK Göteborg

60%

40%