Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Vasco da Gama 0-3 Bragantino. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Fernando  scored 77' for Bragantino.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Bragantino led Shots on target 6-9. Bragantino also shaded Total shots 14-21.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Vasco da Gama the favourite at 47.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Vasco da Gama

47.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Bragantino

Vasco da Gama

Bragantino

6

9

Total shots

Bragantino

Vasco da Gama

Bragantino

14

21

Possession

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

Bragantino

60%

40%