Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Vasco da Gama 0-1 Atlético Mineiro. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Vitor Hugo put the first mark on the match 32', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Vasco da Gama led Total shots 26-10, even though the scoreboard went another way. Vasco da Gama also shaded Shots on target 8-4.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Vasco da Gama the favourite at 51.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Vasco da Gama
51.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
Atlético Mineiro
26
10
Shots on target
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
Atlético Mineiro
8
4
Possession
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
Atlético Mineiro
60%
40%