Postmatch editorial
Riga made the pre-match prices look right
The final score was Vardar 2-3 Riga. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
Vardar struck first through Diego Castañeda 28', but Riga recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Riga led Shots on target 6-7. Vardar also shaded Total shots 18-15.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Riga the favourite at 47.5% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
Riga
47.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
RigaVardar
Riga
6
7
Total shots
VardarVardar
Riga
18
15
Possession
VardarVardar
Riga
53%
47%