Postmatch editorial
Varaždin flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Varaždin 3-2 Jablonec. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Luka Mamic scored 82' for Varaždin.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Jablonec led Corners 1-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Jablonec also shaded Total shots 11-14.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Jablonec the favourite at 40.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Jablonec
40.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
JablonecVaraždin
Jablonec
1
4
Total shots
JablonecVaraždin
Jablonec
11
14
Possession
VaraždinVaraždin
Jablonec
55%
45%