Postmatch editorial

Valur flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Valur 1-0 Zrinjski. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson put the first mark on the match 64', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Zrinjski led Shots on target 2-9, even though the scoreboard went another way. Zrinjski also shaded Corners 2-12.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Zrinjski the favourite at 46.1% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Zrinjski

46.1%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Zrinjski

Valur

Zrinjski

2

9

Corners

Zrinjski

Valur

Zrinjski

2

12

Total shots

Zrinjski

Valur

Zrinjski

9

20