Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Valmiera 1-2 Skendija 79. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Ljupche Doriev put the first mark on the match 9', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Valmiera led Corners 6-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Valmiera also shaded Total shots 10-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Valmiera the favourite at 46.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Valmiera

46.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Valmiera

Valmiera

Skendija 79

6

2

Total shots

Valmiera

Valmiera

Skendija 79

10

8

Shots on target

Skendija 79

Valmiera

Skendija 79

6

7