Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Valletta 0-1 Bala Town. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Chris Venables put the first mark on the match 38', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Valletta led Total shots 18-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Valletta also shaded Shots on target 3-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Valletta the favourite at 59.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Valletta

59.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Valletta

Valletta

Bala Town

18

6

Shots on target

Valletta

Valletta

Bala Town

3

2

Possession

Valletta

Valletta

Bala Town

64%

36%