Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Valle Egüés 1-0 Teruel after penalties. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Miguel Diaz scored 110' for Valle Egüés.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Teruel led Shots on target 4-9, even though the scoreboard went another way. Teruel also shaded Total shots 12-22.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Teruel the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Teruel

43.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Teruel

Valle Egüés

Teruel

4

9

Total shots

Teruel

Valle Egüés

Teruel

12

22

Corners

Teruel

Valle Egüés

Teruel

6

13