Postmatch editorial
Valenciennes flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Valenciennes 1-0 Ajaccio. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Foe Ondoa put the first mark on the match 48', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Ajaccio led Shots on target 3-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Ajaccio also shaded Total shots 13-15.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Ajaccio the favourite at 50.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Ajaccio
50.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
AjaccioValenciennes
Ajaccio
3
4
Total shots
AjaccioValenciennes
Ajaccio
13
15
Possession
ValenciennesValenciennes
Ajaccio
51%
49%