Valencia
Valencia won after full-time.
1 - 0
FT
Osasuna
Postmatch editorial
Valencia made the numbers look right
The final score was Valencia 1-0 Osasuna. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Largie Ramazani put the first mark on the match 67', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Valencia led Shots on target 1-0. Valencia also shaded Total shots 14-8.
Before kickoff, our model made Valencia the likeliest result at 37.1%, while the median bookmaker line priced Valencia at 41.5% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (50.2%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Valencia
37.1%
Market result
Valencia
41.5%
BTTS
No
50.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
ValenciaValencia
Osasuna
1
0
Total shots
ValenciaValencia
Osasuna
14
8
Corners
ValenciaValencia
Osasuna
5
4
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.