Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan won after full-time.
3 - 0
FT
Qatar
Postmatch editorial
One side of the split call landed for Uzbekistan
The final score was Uzbekistan 3-0 Qatar. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
The decisive turn arrived late when Igor Sergeev scored 90+2' for Uzbekistan.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Uzbekistan led Shots on target 8-0. Uzbekistan also shaded Total shots 18-1.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Uzbekistan at 62.5% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Uzbekistan
62.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
UzbekistanUzbekistan
Qatar
8
0
Total shots
UzbekistanUzbekistan
Qatar
18
1
Corners
UzbekistanUzbekistan
Qatar
6
1
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.