Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan won after full-time.
1 - 0
FT
Kyrgyz Republic
Postmatch editorial
Uzbekistan found the margin in a finely priced match
The final score was Uzbekistan 1-0 Kyrgyz Republic. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
Eldor Shomurodov put the first mark on the match 26', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Uzbekistan led Shots on target 9-0. Uzbekistan also shaded Total shots 26-1.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Uzbekistan at 83.3% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Uzbekistan
83.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
UzbekistanUzbekistan
Kyrgyz Republic
9
0
Total shots
UzbekistanUzbekistan
Kyrgyz Republic
26
1
Corners
UzbekistanUzbekistan
Kyrgyz Republic
12
0
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.