Postmatch editorial
Lugo flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Unión Adarve 2-3 Lugo after extra time. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Unión Adarve struck first through Álvaro Portero 29', but Lugo recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Unión Adarve led Total shots 22-13, even though the scoreboard went another way. Unión Adarve also shaded Shots on target 9-7.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Unión Adarve the favourite at 39.1% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Unión Adarve
39.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
Unión AdarveUnión Adarve
Lugo
22
13
Shots on target
Unión AdarveUnión Adarve
Lugo
9
7
Corners
Unión AdarveUnión Adarve
Lugo
8
5