Postmatch editorial

Parma flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Udinese 0-1 Parma. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Nesta Elphege put the first mark on the match 51', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Udinese led Shots on target 3-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Udinese also shaded Total shots 16-10.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Udinese the favourite at 46.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Udinese

46.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Udinese

Udinese

Parma

3

1

Total shots

Udinese

Udinese

Parma

16

10

Corners

Udinese

Udinese

Parma

10

5