Postmatch editorial

Monza flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Udinese 1-2 Monza. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Keita Baldé scored 90' for Monza.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Udinese led Total shots 21-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Udinese also shaded Shots on target 5-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Udinese the favourite at 62.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Udinese

62.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Udinese

Udinese

Monza

21

5

Shots on target

Udinese

Udinese

Monza

5

2

Corners

Udinese

Udinese

Monza

7

0